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《经济通通讯社28日专讯》高盛将其对美国未来12个月陷入经济衰退概率的预测,从之前的25%上调至35%,但基准情景仍然认为不会大幅下滑,迫使联储局大幅减息。
,但可用信贷减少,将被证明是帮助联储局把增长保持于潜能以下的逆风,而不是一场推动经济陷入衰退,迫使联储局积极放宽货币政策的飓风。不过,风险显然偏向于更大的负面影响。
(rc)
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